MELBOURNE CUP DAY MAIL

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MELBOURNE CUP DAY MAIL

Welcome to OneSelection2Win 2014 Melbourne Cup Day Racing Mail.

Our loyal followers had a nice first day of the carnival for Derby Day with four winners in Kermadec, Hucklebuck, Deep Field and Group 1 Derby winner in Preferment.

I still remember growing up I was told son the first Tuesday in November is the day a race stops a nation.

That Tuesday In November (Melbourne Cup Theme Song)

Here are our selections for the entire meeting.

Good Luck & Good Punting!!!!

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2014 MELBOURNE CUP FIELD

Race 7 – 3pm
Emirates Melbourne Cup 3200m

1 Admire Rakti (JPN) 58.5kg Z Purton (8)
2 Cavalryman (GB) 57kg C Williams (3)
3 Fawkner 57kg N Hall (9)
4 Red Cadeaux (GB) 57kg G Mosse (15)
5 Protectionist (GER) 56.5kg R Moore (11)
6 Sea Moon (GB) 56.5kg T Berry (18)
7 Seismos (IRE) 56kg C Newitt (1)
8 Junoob (GB) 55.5kg H Bowman (7)
9 Royal Diamond (IRE) 55.5kg S Arnold (6)
10 Gatewood (GB) 55kg W Buick (22)
11 Mutual Regard (IRE) 55kg D Oliver (12)
12 Who Shot The Barman (NZ) 55kg G Boss (13)
13 Willing Foe (USA) 55kg J McDonald (17)
14 My Ambivalent (IRE) 54.5kg A Atenzi (4)
15 Precedence (NZ) 54.5kg M Rodd (20)
16 Brambles (NZ) 54kg L Nolen (21)
17 Mr O’ Ceirin (NZ) 54kg M Zahra (19)
18 Au Revoir (IRE) 53.5kg G Schofield (23)
19 Lidari (FR) 53.5kg B Melham (10)
20 Opinion (IRE) 53.5kg T Angland (14)
21 Araldo (GB) 53kg D Dunn (24)
22 Lucia Valentina (NZ) 53kg K McEvoy (2)
23 Unchain My Heart 51.5kg D Yendall (5)
24 Signoff (IRE) 51kg J Moriera (16)

MELBOURNE CUP SELECTIONS

Top Four: 22-5-3-1

TOP: No: 22 LUCIA VALENTINA
We backed this mare in the Caulfield Cup and we see no reason to jump off for the big race. Her lead up form has been outstanding, won here two starts back with a fast finishing effort to grab victory in the shadows of the post. Backed that up in the Caulfield Cup with a placing (3rd) when trapped wide throughout the race, then shunted very deep on the turn to run home strongly again to grab a share of the minor prize money. The upside is without winning she does miss a weight penalty for winning the cup. Drawn beautifully in two where she won’t have to spend a penny going out the straight the first time and have her being relaxed throughout the run until the home turn. Can reel in a very quick final sectional so if she is closer enough and good enough approaching the clock tower she can be fighting out the finish. Gets back on this big open surfaces of Flemington will suit. Big Chance.

DANGER: 5 PROTECTIONIST
Won two starts back in France (3000m) Heavy track carrying (60kg). Debut run on Australian soil was solid in the Herbert Power (2400m) with a fast finishing effort to be beaten less then a length to run fourth. Looks a serious challenger in the race now with that run under his belt. 2014 Cox Plate winning jockey jumps on board (R.Moore) so this is a positive booking now that he has won in Australian conditions. Win won’t shock.

3RD: 3 FAWKNER
Only Australian bred, owned and trained horse in the field. Three runs in have been first class in Group 1 company, placed twice (2nd) and winning the Caulfield Stakes. Cox Plate was a sensational run taking the field up to the leader only to beaten by a smart one (Adelaide) late. Loves the Flemington circuit with fantastic stats (11starts: 5-3-1). Only try at this distance was in last years cup when hitting the line late to run a creditable (6th) coming from last. Looks to race a touch closer in this years race and be poised to strike in the straight. Win won’t shock as he is a horse that is always close to the mark.

4TH: 1 ADMIRE RATKI
Japanese runner that won the Caulfield Cup with a sustained run from the point of the home turn to the post. Goes up (0.5kg) for the Caulfield Cup win, needs to break a weight carrying record to win this years cup. Flemington will suit as he can roll into the race from the top of the straight and be strong late. Can see him in the finish somewhere, only slight query can he win with the weight only time will tell.

Bryan Martin 2014 Phantom Cup Call
https://t.co/K5g7WLU7VC

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FLEMINGTON (VIC)
Track: GOOD 3 – Pen: 4.75, Rail: TRUE Weather: FINE @10am (2/11)

FLEMINGTON SELECTIONS

Selections are based on a Dead 4 to Good 3 track rating.

Race 1 – 10.30am
Emirates Airline Plate 1000m

Selection: 12 COMPRENDE
(UNPLACED)
First starter from Adelaide trainer P.Stokes. Looked good winning a recent Morphettville trial (850m) by 4L. Watch for any strong market moves.

Race 2 – 11.10am
Tab.Com.Au Trophy 1700m

Selection: 13 ENTERTAINS
(UNPLACED)
Has been a model of consistency this prep only been out of the winners circle once (2nd) from four starts. Gets well in on the limit (54kg) as she did carry (57kg) at her latest win (1800m). Will appreciate the roomier surfaces of Flemington. Big Chance.

Race 3 – 11.50am
Visit Victoria Plate (96) 2800m

Selection: 5 GRAND MARSHALL
(WINNER – $4.40)
Back into the winners circle over the 2000m at (Rosehill) with a well ridden ride by Jimmy Cassidy. Stays on board is a positive sign, drops nicely in weight (2kg) from that win. Drawn to get the cosy run of the race and be poised to strike in the straight. Inform Sydney stable (Chris Waller) is another tick to his chances today. One of the leading contenders.

Race 4 – 12.30pm
Lavazza Short Black Hcp (90) 1400m

Selection: 2 THE QUARTERBACK
(UNPLACED)
Follow up from his strong win at Seymour on cup day when he cruised up to them a won with something in hand (soft win). Fitter now (3rd up), extra distance suits. Just needs race to be run at a good tempo if it does he’ll be strong inside the last furlong. Major Player.

Race 5 – 1.15pm
Schweppes#flemingtonfling Stks 1000m

Selection: 2 RISEN FROM DOUBT
(WINNER – $8.50)
Raced without luck when trapped wide (3-5 deep) on Cox Plate Day. Back to the (1000m) suits as he may not run out a strong (1200m). Only try down the straight was a convincing win (2.5L) on debut with that jockey back on for today’s event. Go Close.

Race 6 – 2pm
Lexus Hybrid Plate 1400m

Selection: 2 WINE TAILS
(UNPLACED)
Raced without luck first up when held up at a vital stage to just run home strongly to just be beaten on a length. Backed that up with strong win when hitting the gap late to grab the leader late to get the result. Third up now drawn perfectly to get the gun run. Big open spaces of Flemington suits. Top stable (Chris Waller). Hard To Beat.

Race 7 – 3pm
Emirates Melbourne Cup 3200m

See Melbourne Cup Selections above.

Race 8 – 3.55pm
James Boag’s Premium Stakes 1800m

Selection: 13 SYSMO
(PLACED – 2nd $2.70)
Raced without luck in the straight (Sale Cup) when held up (200m) when heavily supported. Looks well placed here, drawn well (2), extra furlong helps, top jockey in Craig Williams jumps on board. Just needs luck in the straight to be fighting out the finish. Ready to win.

Race 9 – 4.35pm
Mss Security Sprint 1200m

Selection: 11 TARGET IN SIGHT
(UNPLACED)
Freshened since his strong win at Caulfield when wearing down the leader late. Has trialled nicely since to be kept up to the mark. Loves this distance range (1200m) as he has won (5) and placed (4) from his nine tries. Craig Williams sticks is always a good sign. Stable on fire. Take Beating.

Race 10 – 5.15pm
The Hong Kong Jockey Club Stks 1400m

Selection: 5 ROSE OF CHOICE
(PLACED – 2nd $2.20)
Strong first up showing when beaten by inform mare Avoid Lightning. Fitter now, drawn beautifully to receive the perfect run in the race. Has won twice from only three tries at the distance (1400m). Group 1 winning jockey jumps on board in Jimmy Cassidy. Inform Sydney stable (Team Snowden). Strong showing expected.

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FLEMINGTON QUADDIE
1 – 1, 3, 5, 22, 24
2 – 2, 9, 13, 14
3 – 2, 11, 14, 18
4 – 3, 4, 5, 6, 16

Combinations: 400 Outlay: $50.00

Return: 12.50%

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FLEMINGTON

BEST BET
RACE 3 NO: 2 WINE TAILS

NEXT BEST
RACE 4 NO: 2 THE QUARTERBACK

BEST BET MULTI PAYING: $9.30

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WINNERS

DEEP FIELD $1.70, PREFERMENT $7.80, HUCKLEBUCK $3.10, KERMADEC $7.00, SPINDERBELLA $7.50, SET SQUARE $9.60, KURO $2.50, NEENA ROCK $2.80, FAWKNER $5.50, WAR FRONT $3.40, TARGET IN SIGHT $7.50, SHOOTING TO WIN $4.10, SWEYNESSE $2.40, ENTERTAINS $3.20, ROARING TO WIN $4.20, TERRAVISTA $2.70, DISCLAIMER $12.90, SWEYNESSE $2.80, CATKINS $2.00, COMMANDING JEWELS $2.90, WROTHAM HEATH $2.90, BRING ME THE MAID $2.30, TERRAVISTA $2.20, ENTIRELY PLATINUM $2.40, ROCK STURDY $2.80, HE’S YOUR MAN $6.80

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If you use this information – or any other information associated with OneSelection2win – it is at your own risk. OneSelection2Win accepts no liability for any financial losses.
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