AFL – SEMI FINALS WEEK 1 PLAYS
Welcome to Week 1 of the AFL Semi Final series where we are down to the final eight teams and now we are at the business end of the season.
Second Qualifying Final: Friday, September 11, 6.20pm, Domain Stadium
WEST COAST EAGLES v HAWTHORN
BETTING: WEST COAST $2.05 – HAWTHORN $1.80
This is the final that could determine this year’s premiership, with the winner to hold a big advantage heading into the final fortnight of the finals series. If West Coast wins, it will get a week off and secure a home preliminary final at Domain Stadium. But if the Hawks can get up, as they have done the last five times they have played the Eagles, they can get back to the MCG in two weeks and avoid an interstate preliminary final against either Fremantle or the Sydney Swans. For a couple of weeks it has been clear these two teams will meet in the opening finals game of 2015 – now that it’s almost here, we can expect a high-scoring and brutal encounter.
Round 19, Domain Stadium: Hawthorn 13.10 (88) d West Coast 11.8 (74)
The Eagles broke out to an early lead with a five-goal first quarter and led at every break, until the Hawks kicked five goals to two in the final term to win by 14 points in a terrific game. Luke Breust kicked three goals, while the Eagles were without ruck pair Nic Naitanui and Callum Sinclair.
OUR TIP: HAWTHORN by 10
First Qualifying Final: Saturday, September 12, 1.20pm, Domain Stadium
FREMANTLE DOCKERS v SYDNEY SWANS
BETTING: FREMANTLE $1.33 – SYDNEY SWANS $3.40
The Dockers’ chances of winning their maiden premiership will soar if they can overcome the Swans at home. Hosting a preliminary final at Domain Stadium after a week off would be a huge advantage for Ross Lyon’s outfit – and would help keep ageing warriors Matthew Pavlich, Aaron Sandilands and Luke McPharlin fresh for possibly their final flag tilt. The Swans have been decimated by injury and go to Perth as rank underdogs without superstar forward Lance Franklin, their co-captain Kieren Jack, Nick Smith and Luke Parker.
Round 4, Domain Stadium: Fremantle 11.8 (74) d Sydney 8.12 (60)
In their typical early-season style, the Dockers steamrolled the Swans in the opening half to lead by 48 points, but they had to hang on grimly as the visitors fought back to get within three points. Nat Fyfe starred with 27 touches.
OUR TIP: FREMANTLE by 27
Elimination Final: Saturday, September 12, 7.20pm, MCG
WESTERN BULLDOGS v ADELAIDE CROWS
BETTING: WESTERN BULLDOGS $1.92 – ADELAIDE CROWS $1.92
The Bulldogs can cap off their impressive year under new coach Luke Beveridge with a September win in their first finals berth since 2010. The Crows, heartbroken after the tragic death of coach Phil Walsh in July, have lost just three times since and earned the respect of the competition for their courage and fight under interim coach Scott Camporeale.
Round 4, Etihad Stadium: Western Bulldogs 18.17 (125) d Adelaide 10.8 (68)
Jake Stringer booted six goals and the Dogs found a way to break the Crows’ forward press, with their slick ball movement and toughness under the Docklands roof too fast.
OUR TIP: WESTERN BULLDOGS by 14
First Elimination Final: Sunday, September 13, 43.20pm, MCG
RICHMOND v NORTH MELBOURNE
BETTING: RICHMOND $1.64 – NORTH MELBOURNE $2.30
Just nine days after they met in a controversial round 23 match, the two Melbourne clubs will square off again. Last week the Kangaroos were widely criticised for resting almost half their squad while the Tigers trotted out a full strength team and recorded a comfortable win. Who will have the last laugh on Sunday? There’s not much between the teams, but the loser will see it as a season wasted.
Round 6, Blundstone Arena: North Melbourne 16.13 (109) d Richmond 10.14 (74)
After a close first half, the Kangaroos punished the Tigers’ turnovers to kick six unanswered goals in the third quarter. Lindsay Thomas kicked five goals in a result that pushed Richmond to a 2-4 win-loss record.
Round 23, Etihad Stadium: Richmond 16.12 (108) d North Melbourne 10.7 (67)
Despite resting almost half of its team, the Kangaroos were shock half-time leaders before the Tigers put the foot down to run away with the victory. Dustin Martin starred with 21 touches and three goals
OUR TIP: RICHMOND by 16
*** SEMI FINALS WEEK 1 – HEAD 2 HEAD SELECTIONS ***
HAWTHORN, FREMANTLE, WESTERN BULLDOGS, RICHMOND
H2H MULTI: $7.53
Here are our best plays for Week 1 for the 2015 AFL Semi Final Series.
Saturday: Fremantle Dockers V Sydney Swans
(Domain Stadium: 3.20pm)
OUR SELECTION: FREMANTLE (Tri Bet: Over 15.5pts) ($1.73)
Saturday: Western Bulldogs v Adelaide Crows
(MCG – 7.20pm)
SELECTION: WESTERN BULLDOGS (H2H) ($1.92)
TWO LEG MULTI PAYING: $3.32
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